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Details of the RHS Climate Predictions

The climate predictions used are based on the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (2013). This report underpins the work of scientists, governments and policymakers throughout the world.


♦ An increase in the occurrence of prolonged periods without rain, most pronounced in summer in southern England.

♦ An increased frequency of very wet days, most pronounced in winter in northern areas of the UK.

♦ A continuing high year-to-year variability in rainfall.

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♦ Average temperature is projected to increase in all seasons and across all regions of the UK.

♦ Much of the UK could theoretically be frost-free in the future.

♦ Global temperature may rise by 1.5 to 2.0°C over the next century, even when based on scenarios where there is strict legislation on greenhouse gas emissions.

Wind and storms

♦ More extreme, more intense windy spells and storms.

Windmills on green field
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